Linkedin Blog Post On RESILIENCE

Why RESILIENCE as a Strategy is Key to Stable, Predictable Revenue and Higher Company Valuation

RESILIENS Grafer

In today’s uncertain business landscape, RESILIENCE has become more than just a buzzword. Companies increasingly realize that building predictable revenue streams not only shields them against market volatility but also enhances long-term value and stability.

 

Understanding RESILIENCE in Business Models

RESILIENCE in business isn’t about avoiding change but thriving amid it. Traditionally, businesses chase growth, but as we navigate a “VUCA” world — full of volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity — it’s clear that growth alone is insufficient. RESILIENCE as a strategy focuses on stabilizing and securing revenue streams, categorizing them into three types based on predictability:

 

  1. Fixed Revenue: These are long-term agreements like annual contracts and prepaid services that guarantee income for a year or more, anchoring a firm’s financial foundation.
  2. Predictable Revenue: This includes customer commitments or subscription-based models where, although specific sales aren’t confirmed, customer habits or contractual loyalty create stable projections.
  3. Variable Revenue: Often tied to project-based or new customer revenues, this category is more uncertain and sensitive to market fluctuations.

Why Predictable Revenue Streams Matter More Than Ever

Companies with RESILIENT business models tend to outperform those heavily reliant on variable income, especially during economic downturns. For example, fixed revenue is often valued at a 20x multiple of EBITDA, predictable revenue around 10x, while variable income may only achieve a multiple of less than 5x. A business with a balanced mix of fixed and predictable revenue types will likely hold stronger appeal to investors, offering not only stability but significanly higher valuation.

 

How Companies Can Build RESILIENCE

  1. Shift from Product to Service Models: Companies like Hilti and Smooth Robotics have transformed from product-focused businesses to service providers, such as offering hand tools or software on a subscription basis. This change locks in clients and provides a recurring revenue stream.
  2. Extend Contract Length and Terms: Long-term contracts, as seen with OJM’s 10-year agreements, foster ongoing customer relationships and secure stable income over extended periods, which is invaluable for forecasting and financial planning.
  3. Engage in Co-Development: Collaborative innovation aligns your offerings with customer needs, creating a vested interest in mutual success. Firms that incorporate customer feedback into product development often benefit from enhanced loyalty and long-term revenue commitment.
  4. Leverage Digital Integration: Digital platforms and data integration help companies creating loyal customer bases. By making services part of the customer’s operational process, companies increase the difficulty of switching suppliers and enhance customer retention.
  5. Develop Strong Customer Communities: A loyal customer base not only generates recurring revenue but also acts as a stabilizing force during challenging times. Brands like Amazon Prime benefit from cultivating a fan-like community, which boosts customer lifetime value significantly.

Final Thoughts: The Path Forward

RESILIENCE as a strategy isn’t about resisting change; it’s about designing business models that embrace it without sacrificing stability. By focusing on fixed and predictable revenue streams, your business will be well-positioned to withstand market shifts, improve valuation, and ensure long-term success.

The shift to RESILIENCE is a journey, but by embedding predictability into your revenue model, you not only strengthen your company today but also build a future-proof foundation for tomorrow.

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Michael N. Wilkens, PinPointers ApS

Niels Hansens Vej 29 5700 Svendborg Danmark